2012年1月8日星期日

"eight" decided by the bottom line

129667889739990392_352This week, the market can use flagging to describe the old republic power leveling, index limited amplitude: huzongzhi between low and high of 2,419 2,370 distances only 50 points; can be limited: the average daily trading volume in Shanghai Stock Exchange basically unchanged at 50 billion dollars, since was 2,307 points to the volume level. Hot, in fact, is poor, the vast majority of stocks are the waves byStream.  After this week's "mill JI", later will continue to maintain this kind of performance is going in the direction of preliminary choice? Objectively speaking, empty messages in the a-share market this week was to occupy an absolute advantage. First star wars the old republic power leveling, the peripheral market dropped sharply under the influence of European debt crisis, the United States, Germany, France, the country's main stock index decline of around 5% this week, the Hang SengNumber from the last weekend of around 18,500 points this week fell to near 17,700 points, down about 4%.   Main capital stocks (eleven-twenty fifths) unit fled to cut meat must regret having sudden boom is not likely in a move investors Gospel: hold stocks saved! Second, the HSBC announced in November, China National PMI index of the initial value of 48,Compared to 51 in the last month fell sharply, this indicates that the risk of a downturn in the domestic economy are emerging, especially small and medium enterprises may be difficult.  This event, they will upstream large conduction, which in turn lead to economic activity continued to decline. The third is October Exchange per cent negative growth, in the context of positive growth of exports is still renderedInternational hot money out of the domestic market the possibility of a relatively large.  Outflow of hot money will soon be forming a negative impact on the market, especially concentration of hot real estate market and the a-share market. Finally, in the context of downside risk, the stock market cash flows again. There are statistical data, as of November 22, Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets this year, a total of 538 companies 12Fashion cash in 38 Executive, accumulated cash amount reached $ 16.7 billion, on average every shareholder cash in $ 13.49 million.  Junior executives cashed out and gem most frequently, this year, a total of 360 small reduction of company executives and gem, is now $ 14.095 billion Trojan. V is the pace was expected to grow to suspend or slow down the market mayFrustrated time and again, markets on Friday ushered in the 4 new listings, and Xinhua life insurance is road show as scheduled, release, and would seem to increase the number of companies. With so much bad news, the a-share market was relatively calm, although below the 2,400-point, but weeks falling only about 1%. Behind this suppressed information is a capital in anticipation of all adverseFactors provide the management to introduce easing point coming soon. Analysis, believes that the perimeter is not good, economic decline, then the policy come to the point faster. It's not just decided by the PMI fell below the downs line, is the policies take into account the lag decided by the release in advance, is the speed of economic development, "eight" decided by the bottom line, as well as industrial developmentSlow down too quickly determined by the fundamentals.  On this point, the Ministry called for is a sign, is a positive act an advance party for later policy. Of course, if "money" is to be the dominant function of capital markets, particularly high prices regardless of how the environment is also trying to issue stocks, then face the ever-expanding market, funds do not vote to take foot。 Currently, management does do some things contribute to the healthy development of the market, but it does not have a direct impact on the current market. Policy trends are around the end of the market barometer, if there are no funds high recognition of good news around 2,400 shocks in the short term is difficult to end. 12 next page

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